INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY OF THE JAPANESE YEN: SAFE-HAVEN AND FUNDING DUALITY IN THE GLOBAL MONETARY HIERARCHY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36074/grail-of-science.20.02.2026.053Keywords:
currency internationalisation, currency hierarchy, international political economy, monetary power, neo-dependency, international monetary transmission mechanism, Japanese yen, safe-haven currency, funding currency, global financial stabilitySummary
The international political economy of the Japanese yen is examined as a case of secondary-currency power in a dollar-centred hierarchy, where global status is shaped less by episodic “events” than by the co-evolution of institutions, market infrastructure, and macro-financial cycles. Standard internationalisation indicators are treated as outcome measures, and the observed paradox – moderate routine use alongside intense crisis salience – is explained through a safe-haven/funding duality that operates as a regime-like morphodynamics. Yen “funding” phases are shown to arise from persistent low rates, hedged outward portfolio allocation, and cross-currency basis dynamics, whereas “haven” phases are activated endogenously through the unwind of yen-funded leverage and offshore positioning. A longue durée perspective links these cycles to phase shifts in liberalisation, post-bubble retrenchment, and unconventional policy, while the infrastructural layer (safe assets, offshore/onshore access, and backstops) is identified as enabling but not sufficient for outcome internationalisation. The analysis further specifies transmission channels – balance-sheet, portfolio-yield spillovers, crisis activation, and redistribution – and distils governance principles for non-hegemonic currencies in a more plural monetary order.
Downloads
Downloads
References
Bank for International Settlements. (n.d.). Turnover of OTC foreign exchange instruments, by currency (“Net-net” basis, April 1992–2025 daily averages, in billions of US dollars) [Data set]. BIS Data Portal. https://data.bis.org/topics/DER/tables-and-dashboards/BIS%2CDER_D11_3%2C1.0
Bank of England. (2021). Dash for dollars (Staff Working Paper No. 932). https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/working-paper/2021/dash-for-dollars.pdf
Bank of Japan. (2018, October 26). Bilateral local currency swap agreement with the People’s Bank of China. https://www.boj.or.jp/en/intl_finance/cooperate/rel181026b.pdf
Bank of Japan. (2020, November 8). U.S. dollar funding trend in the January–March quarter of 2020 as indicated by the BIS international banking statistics (Bank of Japan Review). https://www.boj.or.jp/en/research/wps_rev/rev_2020/data/rev20e08.pdf
Bank of Japan. (2025, July 31). Information Disclosure Based on the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructures: The BOJ-NET Funds Transfer System. https://www.boj.or.jp/en/paym/outline/pay_boj/pboj250731a.pdf
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (2023, March 15). Central bank liquidity swaps. https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_liquidityswaps.htm
Borio, C. (2016, May 10). More pluralism, more stability? https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp160510.pdf
Brunnermeier, M. K., Nagel, S., & Pedersen, L. H. (2009). Carry trades and currency crashes. In D. Acemoglu, K. Rogoff, & M. Woodford (Eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008 (Vol. 23, pp. 313–347). University of Chicago Press. https://doi.org/10.1086/593088 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/593088
Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2016, September). Currency invoicing and the implications for prices. Monthly Labor Review. https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2016/beyond-bls/currency-invoicing-and-the-implications-for-prices.htm
Cheng, X., Chen, H., & Zhou, Y. (2021). Is the renminbi a safe-haven currency? Evidence from conditional coskewness and cokurtosis. Journal of International Money and Finance, 113, 102359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2021.102359 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2021.102359
Cohen, B. J. (2019). Currency statecraft: Monetary rivalry and geopolitical ambition. University of Chicago Press. https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo29141097.html DOI: https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226587868.001.0001
Council on Foreign Relations. (2024, October 2). Central bank currency swaps tracker. https://www.cfr.org/trackers/central-bank-currency-swaps-tracker
Du, W., Tepper, A., & Verdelhan, A. (2017). Deviations from covered interest rate parity (NBER Working Paper No. 23170). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w23170/w23170.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w23170
Eichengreen, B., & Mathieson, D. J. (2000). The currency composition of foreign exchange reserves: Retrospect and prospect (IMF Working Paper WP/00/131). International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2000/wp00131.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451855272.001
European Central Bank. (2003, January). The Continuous Linked Settlement (CLS) system. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/pp53_66_mb200301en.pdf
European Central Bank. (2013). Global safe asset shortage, non-traditional
reserve currencies and global safe assets. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/ire/article/ecb.ireart201307_01~238d62d8e1.en.pdf
European Central Bank. (2016). The layers of the global financial safety net: Taking stock (Economic Bulletin, Issue 5/2016). https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/eb201605_article01.en.pdf
European Central Bank. (2017). Strengthening the global financial safety net (Occasional Paper No. 207). https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op207.en.pdf
European Central Bank. (2018). Cross-border banking in the EU since the crisis: What is driving the great retrenchment? (Working Paper Series No. 2130). https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2130.en.pdf
Federal Reserve. (2023, March 15). Central bank liquidity swaps. https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_liquidityswaps.htm
Gislén, M. (2021). Dollar liquidity from the Federal Reserve to other central banks. Sveriges Riksbank. https://www.riksbank.se/globalassets/media/rapporter/pov/artiklar/engelska/2021/210319/2021_1-dollar-liquidity-from-the-federal-reserve-to-other-central-banks.pdf
Goldberg, L., & Dillon, E. W. (2007). Why a dollar depreciation may not close the U.S. trade deficit (Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 13(5)). Federal Reserve Bank of New York. https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/current_issues/ci13-5.pdf
Gopinath, G., Boz, E., Casas, C., Díez, F. J., Gourinchas, P.-O., & Plagborg-Møller, M. (2020). Dominant currency paradigm. American Economic Review, 110(3), 677–719. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20171201 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20171201
Hong, G. H., Kim, J., Liao, W., & McCauley, R. N. (2019). What do deviations
from covered interest parity and higher FX hedging costs mean for Asia? (IMF Working
Paper WP/19/169). International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WP/2019/wpiea2019169-print-pdf.ashx
IDE, J., Masuda, T., & Takahashi, M. (2025, March). Developments in the functioning of the JGB markets from the perspective of the usage of the securities lending facility (Bank of Japan Review, 2025-E-32). https://www.boj.or.jp/en/research/wps_rev/rev_2025/data/rev25e03.pdf
International Monetary Fund. (2020). Strains in offshore U.S. dollar funding during the COVID-19 crisis (Global Financial Stability Notes No. 2020/001). https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/gfs-notes/2020/english/anea2020001.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513550336.065
International Monetary Fund. (2021). Switzerland – Selected issues: Swiss franc – Safe haven for whom? https://www.elibrary.imf.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/002/2021/131/article-A002-en.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513586113.002
International Monetary Fund. (2023). Japan: 2023 Article IV consultation – Staff report (Country Report). https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2023/english/1jpnea2023001.pdf
International Monetary Fund. (2024). Japan (Country Report). https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2024/english/1jpnea2024003.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400276682.002
International Monetary Fund. (2025). Currency composition of official foreign exchange reserves (COFER) database [Data set]. https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA%3ACOFER
International Monetary Fund. (2025). Macroeconomic effects and spillovers from Bank of Japan unconventional monetary policy (IMF Working Paper No. 25/227). https://www.elibrary.imf.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/001/2025/227/001.2025.issue-227-en.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229029582.001
Ito, T., Koibuchi, S., Sato, K., Shimizu, J., & Yoshimi, T. (2021). The dollar, the yen, or the RMB? A survey data analysis of invoicing currencies among Japanese overseas subsidiaries (RIETI Discussion Paper Series 21-E-016). Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry. https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/dp/21e016.pdf
Iwami, T. (1992). Japan’s experiences under the Bretton Woods system: Capital Controls and the Fixed Exchange Rate (CIRJE Discussion Paper). Center for International Research on the Japanese Economy, University of Tokyo. https://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/92/f1/dp.pdf
Japan International Cooperation Agency. (2025, March 13). Central Asia and Japan’s ODA loans. https://www.jica.go.jp/english/overseas/uzbekistan/others/__icsFiles/afieldfile/2025/03/13/archive_06.pdf
Ministry of Finance (Japan). (2022, October 31). Foreign exchange
intervention operations (September 29, 2022 through October 27, 2022). https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/international_policy/reference/feio/monthly/20221031e.html
Ministry of Finance (Japan). (2024, October). Japanese Government
Bonds: JGB Monthly Newsletter (October 2024). https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/publication/newsletter/jgb2024_10e.pdf
Ministry of Finance (Japan). (2025, December 5). International
reserves/foreign currency liquidity (as of the end of November 2025). https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/international_policy/reference/official_reserve_assets/e0711.html
Ministry of Finance (Japan). (n.d.). Taxation of Government Bonds. Retrieved February 9, 2026, from https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/topics/taxation2016/index.html
Orsi, B. (2025). Currency hierarchy and the nature of peripheral currencies’ internationalization. Review of International Political Economy. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.2025.2550982 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.2025.2550982
Packer, F., & Reynolds, E. (1997, June). The samurai bond market (Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 3(8)). Federal Reserve Bank of New York. https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci3-8.html
Park, K., & Fang, Z. (2025). Time-varying intra-safe haven currency behaviour: The U.S. dollar, the Swiss franc, and the Japanese yen. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 100, 101976. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2025.101976 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2025.101976
Shiratsuka, S. (2024, July). What Did the Yield Curve Control Policy Do? (TCER Working Paper Series E-208). Tokyo Center for Economic Research. https://www.tcer.or.jp/wp/pdf/e208.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4893990
SWIFT. (2025, August). RMB Tracker: Monthly reporting and statistics on renminbi (RMB) progress towards becoming an international currency [Report]. https://www.swift.com/sites/default/files/files/rmb-tracker_august-2025.pdf
Takagi, S. (2011). Internationalising the yen, 1984–2003. In Currency internationalisation: Lessons from the global financial crisis and prospects for the future in Asia and the Pacific (BIS Papers No. 61). Bank for International Settlements. https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap61g.pdf
World Bank. (2026). GDP (current US$) (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD) [Data set]. World Development Indicators. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD
Yasukawa, R., & Sakai, S. (2024, July 17). 物価高による家計負担は和らぐか?~賃上げで実質賃金プラス転化も個人消費の回復は緩やか~ [Will household burdens from higher prices ease?—Even if wage increases turn real wages positive, the recovery in private consumption will be gradual] (Mizuho RT EXPRESS). Mizuho Research & Technologies, Ltd. https://www.mizuho-rt.co.jp/publication/2024/pdf/express-jp240717.pdf
Downloads
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Categories